Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 13.510757 15.786488 18.269875 21.173452 24.467155 28.079153 32.331530
2025-05-11 9.516263 12.566207 16.245488 20.972926 26.844027 33.850944 42.796587
2025-05-18 7.115292 10.380477 14.648992 20.552560 28.407036 38.388241 51.903179
2025-05-25 5.517952 8.780776 13.351159 20.075972 29.545242 42.204555 60.166109
2025-06-01 4.373240 7.534208 12.246523 19.570876 30.405950 45.534013 67.862597
2025-06-08 3.398778 6.326981 10.962391 18.551180 30.305738 47.385745 73.515342
2025-06-15 3.016017 5.985358 10.922083 19.348815 32.886141 53.181376 85.105012
2025-06-22 2.624772 5.548014 10.646251 19.705703 34.773258 58.037431 95.592963
2025-06-29 2.188596 4.940665 9.983358 19.318736 35.397022 60.960715 103.300191
2025-07-06 1.777805 4.296369 9.150687 18.517130 35.221443 62.561966 108.997186
2025-07-13 1.669922 4.245912 9.399776 19.648949 38.393470 69.716558 123.874731
2025-07-20 1.560391 4.170141 9.584685 20.669993 41.437091 76.829892 139.064637
2025-07-27 1.374784 3.909912 9.411244 21.082132 43.592845 82.876568 153.359153
2025-08-03 1.166069 3.553772 8.997415 21.000746 44.889151 87.642208 166.002628
2025-08-10 0.968235 3.173039 8.463778 20.600514 45.532532 91.297571 176.980219
2025-08-17 0.800189 2.823266 7.934051 20.126536 45.963727 94.571624 187.462465
2025-08-24 0.659694 2.508597 7.426147 19.620957 46.260472 97.587691 197.632085
2025-08-31 0.519830 2.149247 6.735900 18.599104 45.374612 98.291870 203.614588
2025-09-07 0.479209 2.096547 6.824801 19.398533 48.389811 106.638473 224.146131
2025-09-14 0.426141 1.985047 6.735755 19.756215 50.476375 113.298982 241.870290
2025-09-21 0.355778 1.786510 6.366096 19.368390 50.875096 116.630628 253.440829
2025-09-28 0.285348 1.558935 5.863311 18.565000 50.245257 117.824725 260.928263
2025-10-05 0.274213 1.570765 6.086989 19.699336 54.189677 128.640430 287.799255